Sports Collectibles

We looked for a cold card. There isn’t one.

August 6, 2026
Pokemon Mew Vmax Fusion Strike 269/264 Secret Rare Full Alt Art PSA 10 Gem Mint — sold for $498 on eBay
2 min read

13 cards measured on confirmed sales. 9 are up, and the weakest is down under 10%.

RazMania measured 13 cards on their trailing 30-day median against the 60 days before it. 9 are up, 3 are down, and not one is down enough to call cold. The weakest reading on the board is a Fusion Strike Mew VMAX alt art at -9.9%.

Why it matters

We publish a cold-card piece on the premise that something is always out of favour. This week that premise is wrong, and saying so is more useful than dressing up a card that slipped a few percent. Of the 13 cards measured, 9 are up and the median move across the board is +13.8%. If you are hunting a discount right now, the honest read is that the graded blue chips are not offering one.

By the numbers

Card 30-day median Prior 60 days Change Sales (30d / prior)
2024 Prizm Jayden Daniels #347 RC, PSA 10 $209 $81 +158.0% 63 / 107
2003-04 Topps Chrome LeBron James #111 RC, PSA 9 $6,000 $3,200 +87.5% 23 / 45
1986 Fleer Michael Jordan #57 RC, PSA 8 $19,354 $16,000 +21.0% 10 / 37
2023-24 Prizm Victor Wembanyama #136 RC, PSA 10 $358 $360 -0.6% 228 / 420
2024-25 Prizm Caitlin Clark #22 RC, PSA 10 $300 $322 -6.8% 97 / 141
Fusion Strike Mew VMAX Alt Art #269, PSA 10 $498 $552.50 -9.9% 5 / 20

Reality check

Read the sample sizes before the percentages. The Mew sits on 5 recent sales, which is our floor and not a lot of conviction. The Wembanyama, by contrast, is 228 sales against 420 — that -0.6% is close to a real answer. We also cannot explain the two largest gainers, and one card we tested came back at -12% or +14% purely depending on how narrowly we queried it. That is why every card here is pinned to a specific card number and grade.

What's next

The board gets re-measured weekly. A cold card needs a 15% drop with sales behind it on both sides of the window, and this week nothing cleared it — the closest was -9.9%. For scale, we tracked 21,691 sales over $500 in the last full week, topped by a $576,350 Pokemon card. This is not a quiet market. It is simply not a falling one.

Your call

At $498, would you buy this card?

Pokemon Mew Vmax Fusion Strike 269/264 Secret Rare Full Alt Art PSA 10 Gem Mint

Your take

How we track this

RazMania monitors completed eBay sales daily, filtering out multi-card lots, reprints, and cross-listed items to isolate genuine single-card sales. Prices are final sold prices. Comparable-sale medians are calculated from 5813 verified sales over the trailing 90 days. eBay reports sold date, not sold time.

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